Richard Oliver

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Posts by Richard Oliver

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  144

  2.16.2017 NJ Star-Ledger Ad: "Were you sexually abused by the Jehovahs Witnesses?"

  by breakfast of champions in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  my wife found this 1/4 page ad on page 2 of yesterday's nj star-ledger, probably the biggest newspaper in nj.

  pretty telling.. .

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  Richard Oliver

  I never said that they should just give up. My statement was that it is not as easy as so many people here make it sound like. They expect because of these law firms that it is a slam dunk and that Watchtower is going to roll over and die because they are now the litigators on the case. It is going to be a uphill battle for these lawyers. They may win, but it won't be easy.
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  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

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  Richard Oliver

  Just fine:

  I appreciate the fact that you feel it is the policy to keep it secret. I think it is very easy how people can see it that way. I personally don't think that it is a policy to keep these things secret but to respect privacy and privilege, but you certainly don't. You are certainly entitled to your opinion but so am I. As time goes on we will see how lawyers, judges and legislatures see it to be, and the thing is in a lot of ways, when it goes to the technicalities of the law their opinions are the only ones that matter. But certainly other people's opinion matters very much when it comes to the press and the general public.
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  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

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  Richard Oliver

  Cha Ching.

  I think you hit the actual important thing on the head. There is a difference between law and what is morally good. There is a difference between the court of law and court of public opinion. The court of law is all about technicalities and that is what matters. What is moral and what the courts can deal with are two different things. The court of public opinion is something where emotion, opinions and other aspects of truth can come out.
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  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

  1. 
  2. 
  3. 
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  Richard Oliver

  Just Fine:

  Thank you for acknowledging that, and I am sorry if I came off as not acknowledging your personal opinions before. You are exactly correct, we can interpret facts differently and like you said there is no reason to avoid the facts. You see it one way and I see it differently. That is not always the case on here, you have to admit that though, there are people on here who don't care what facts are being presented, they just want to steamroll over the facts and not even acknowledge them and discuss them. They just feel that they are right no matter what is presented and that other people who has a differing opinion is wrong immediately because they disagree with them.
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  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

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  Richard Oliver

  No I don't expect everyone to agree with me. Though what I do expect people to do is accept what is considered facts when facts are presented to them. Again, you can interpret those facts however you want to. But just dismissing the facts because they don't agree with your opinion is wrong. You have to at least acknowledge those facts, many people here don't want to acknowledge the facts because it doesn't agree with their opinion. I have to give you credit just fine, you at least will look at facts that you may not agree with, you don't dismiss them right off the bat as being false or a lie, you may not agree with the way that it was gathered or how other people interpret them, but you at least acknowledge those facts as being real.
• 
  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

  1. 
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  Richard Oliver

  Well Just Fine, that is your right to have your opinion. The scientific America article talks about how researchers have debunked that opinion but it is certainly your opinion, and I am sure that no one is going to change it.
• 
  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

  1. 
  2. 
  3. 
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  Richard Oliver

  OK just fine. We have different opinions of active supervision. But it does not negate the numbers that the DoJ and others have found. Please explain away the numbers.
• 
  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

  1. 
  2. 
  3. 
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  Richard Oliver

  Registration is not the same as supervision. Registration is so that both the public and police, if needed, knows where the person lives. Parole or probation is active supervision of an individual. Active supervision, for example by a parole officer. They actively work with an individual to ensure that they do not violate a term of their release. That is why a person on parole can be sent back to jail immediately for a parole violation, without the due process that is afforded other people who is suspected of committing a crime. They can be detained as long as the law prescribes because technically they are still supposed to be in jail, but they were released early and are subject to the rules that are set out in their parole conditions. If a sex offender who has fulfilled their parole or probation is suspected of a crime they are still due the same due process that any other suspect and either has to be charged or released within a certain period of time.
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  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

  1. 
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  Richard Oliver

  The average sentence imposed on the 9,700 sex offenders was 8 years and, on average, 3 1/2 years of those 8 years were actually served prior to release. The average sentence imposed on the 4,300 child molesters was approximately 7 years and, on average, child molesters were released after serving 3 of the 7 years.

  https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/press/rsorp94pr.cfm

  Parole or probation is only imposed on people who have not fully served out their time and is released early With the average of 4 to 4.5 years of early release, government supervision is only required for those years that remain on their sentence. Registration of a sex offender is not necessarily considered part of the parole or probation as, individuals who are released following serving their full term in prison is still required to register. They can be arrested for not following the registration requirement but they are no longer on parole and therefore cannot be sent back to jail for a parole violation.
  
  
  
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  161

  ARC Analysis Summary of Case Files

  by Richard Oliver in

  1. watchtower
  2. child-abuse

  i have been doing research on the arc as some people on here have suggested.

  i find it interesting on the case file analysis some of the findings.

  it looks like queensland and new south wales had the biggest problems with this.

  1. 
  2. 
  3. 
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  Richard Oliver

  Sex crimes researchers R. Karl Hanson and Kelly E. Morton-Bourgon of Public Safety Canada conducted a large-scale meta-analysis (quantitative review) of recidivism rates among adult sex offenders. They found a rate of 14 percent over a period averaging five to six years. Recidivism rates increased over time, reaching 24 percent by 15 years. The figures are clearly out of alignment with the public’s more dire expectations.

  https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/misunderstood-crimes/

  
  

  Of the released sex offenders, 3.5 percent were reconvicted for a sex crime within the 3-year follow-up period, 24 percent were reconvicted for any new offense and 38.6 percent were returned to prison, either because they received another prison sentence or because of a parole violation.

  https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/press/rsorp94pr.cfm